Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 380.434084 432.890389 491.525691 562.216447 645.513356 741.009245 859.443058
2025-08-17 309.649589 379.557006 465.118165 578.752627 727.532819 918.265870 1185.485759
2025-08-24 265.075835 340.418827 438.098331 576.282209 770.463310 1039.407571 1450.617352
2025-08-31 231.267125 307.929818 411.903805 566.594687 796.863478 1137.012056 1697.507794
2025-09-07 209.230059 287.385588 397.610988 569.049414 837.776858 1258.821201 2002.996640
2025-09-14 187.735394 264.535085 376.409951 557.018035 852.850011 1340.635844 2257.997842
2025-09-21 172.614276 249.024540 363.722604 555.477592 882.992256 1450.331815 2584.697443
2025-09-28 154.850890 227.595373 339.425609 531.709942 871.490101 1484.505573 2774.870798
2025-10-05 149.119442 224.067453 342.609727 553.451406 941.803721 1678.605450 3333.426618
2025-10-12 144.748508 222.147118 347.963082 579.234538 1022.995772 1908.428324 4033.447747
2025-10-19 136.908442 213.779084 341.580305 583.012128 1062.455361 2061.056686 4599.985627
2025-10-26 126.966222 201.037781 326.449690 568.715224 1063.630502 2132.071294 4984.937970
2025-11-02 118.257717 189.925351 313.547714 557.907843 1072.004419 2224.451497 5466.923769
2025-11-09 114.410124 186.930416 314.887833 575.044868 1142.686984 2476.765972 6490.180815
2025-11-16 108.236730 179.289408 306.956472 572.511440 1169.458610 2628.478962 7273.433530
2025-11-23 101.746857 170.573342 296.226484 562.908840 1178.514972 2737.214203 7963.896457
2025-11-30 97.311630 165.266793 291.491536 565.343380 1216.254847 2930.484224 9027.328361
2025-12-07 91.601048 157.180715 280.684168 553.406174 1217.161680 3022.447700 9765.948016
2025-12-14 87.506898 151.854079 274.878787 551.877734 1243.986657 3195.635037 10905.283845
2025-12-21 81.427115 142.350314 259.990696 528.294591 1210.506748 3181.528073 11270.614129
2025-12-28 80.338834 142.405462 264.513035 549.867342 1300.053850 3571.390405 13618.557723
2026-01-04 79.619845 143.118259 270.431586 575.448650 1405.458092 4044.984791 16700.582935
2026-01-11 76.949609 139.757456 267.470761 579.196515 1449.839045 4324.649522 19006.083087